Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001077 0.001225 0.001374 0.001535 0.001704 0.001874 0.002060
2025-08-31 0.000854 0.001067 0.001288 0.001534 0.001797 0.002069 0.002370
2025-09-07 0.000701 0.000961 0.001241 0.001560 0.001909 0.002276 0.002687
2025-09-14 0.000538 0.000826 0.001150 0.001528 0.001950 0.002400 0.002911
2025-09-21 0.000440 0.000755 0.001121 0.001558 0.002054 0.002588 0.003200
2025-09-28 0.000379 0.000721 0.001129 0.001625 0.002195 0.002815 0.003528
2025-10-05 0.000296 0.000647 0.001084 0.001627 0.002259 0.002953 0.003758
2025-10-12 0.000238 0.000598 0.001063 0.001653 0.002347 0.003116 0.004012
2025-10-19 0.000170 0.000526 0.001008 0.001633 0.002380 0.003213 0.004190
2025-10-26 0.000121 0.000471 0.000970 0.001631 0.002430 0.003327 0.004386
2025-11-02 0.000075 0.000410 0.000919 0.001609 0.002453 0.003410 0.004544
2025-11-09 0.000042 0.000358 0.000876 0.001595 0.002484 0.003498 0.004707
2025-11-16 0.000003 0.000260 0.000770 0.001514 0.002456 0.003544 0.004852
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000204 0.000720 0.001503 0.002512 0.003689 0.005112
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000166 0.000694 0.001523 0.002607 0.003880 0.005426
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000113 0.000630 0.001488 0.002630 0.003986 0.005642
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000089 0.000613 0.001515 0.002731 0.004183 0.005963
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000078 0.000622 0.001579 0.002879 0.004435 0.006347
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000053 0.000589 0.001580 0.002943 0.004587 0.006614
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000037 0.000574 0.001605 0.003038 0.004774 0.006921
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000017 0.000532 0.001585 0.003072 0.004887 0.007139
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000006 0.000503 0.001583 0.003128 0.005024 0.007385
2026-01-25 NaN NaN 0.000463 0.001561 0.003156 0.005126 0.007589